Eur/Usd

EURUSD SABAH ANALİZİ 02.07.2012 09:00 Eurusd paritesindeki düşüş dün de devam etti. Almanya işsizlik oranının ve işsizlik değişiminin beklentilerin üzerinde gelmesiyle birlikte parite düşüşe geçti. Daha sonra İtalya’dan gelen üretici fiyat endeksi verisinin de beklentilerden kötü gelmesi Euro’nun değer kaybetmesine neden oldu. Ayrıca JP Morgan’ın türev işlemlerden zararının 9 milyar dolara çıkabileceği haberleri paritedeki düşüş hızlandırdı. Sonrasında açıklanan Euro Bölgesi güven endeksinin beklentilerin üzerinde gelmesine rağmen 2,5 yılın en düşük seviyesine inmesi paritenin 1,2406 seviyesine kadar gevşemesine neden oldu. Bugün ise Avrupalı liderlerin İspanyol bankalarına verilecek kredilerin geri ödeme kurallarını esnetmesi ve İtalya’ya olası yardım koşulları için şartların gevşetilmesi paritenin son 8 ayın en hızlı yükselişini göstererek 1,2620 seviyesine kadar yükselmesine neden oldu. Liderler zirvesinden krizin çözümüne ilişkin önemli kararlar alınması paritenin yukarı yönlü hareketini destekliyor. Parite 1,2560 seviyesinin üzerinde kaldığı sürece yükselişine devam edebilir ve 1,2695 seviyesine kadar yükseliş görebiliriz. 1,2560 seviyesinin altında 1,2470 seviyesine kadar gevşeme görülebilir. Direnç: 1,2620, 1,2660, 1,2695 ve 1,2750 Destek: 1,2560, 12520, 1,2470 ve 1,2430

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U.S. stock rose after yesterdays fall

U.S. stocks rose, after yesterday’s selloff, as the downgrade of global banks by Moody’s Investors Service was followed by rallies in financial shares while the European Central Bank announced changes to its lending program. Morgan Stanley (MS) advanced 1.1 percent after the ratings firm cut the bank by two levels rather than a threatened three grades. Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and Citigroup Inc. (C), which were lowered to within two levels of junk, rose at least 0.4 percent. Facebook Inc. (FB) rallied 3 percent after Nomura Holdings Inc. recommended buying the biggest social-networking company. None of the financial firms was cut more than Moody’s had forecast. Morgan Stanley’s long-term senior unsecured debt rating was reduced two grades to Baa1. The downgrades left Citigroup and Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America as the lowest-rated banks among the 15 at Baa2. The prospect of downgrades had weighed on banks since Moody’s said Feb. 15 it was reviewing 17 banks with capital- markets operations because of fragile confidence and tighter regulations that pinched revenue. Pressure mounted as Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis intensified. As part of the index DOW almost all companies show a positive trend. The leaders of the growth of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM, +1,85%) and Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK, +1.75%) losing more than just Walt Disney Co (DIS), whose shares fell by 0.84%. Branches in the context of the S & P 500 in all sectors, except for one in the "green" zone. Best of all look the health sector (0.7%) and technology (+0.6%). Reducing shows only sector conglomerate (-0.1%)

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Analysis of

S&P Future 22.06.2012 14:30:00 Resistance of 3:1355 (61,8% FIBO 1412-1265, Jun 19-20 highs) Resistance of 2:1340 (Jun 20 low) Resistance of 1:1330 (MA (200) for H1) Current Price: 1323.50 Support 1:1317 (session low, Jun 21 low) Support 2:1298 (Jun 8 and 12 lows) Support 3:1265 (low of June) USD/JPY 22.06.2012 11:33:00 Resistance 3: Y81.70/80 (Apr 20 high, 61,8%% FIBO Y84 ,20-Y77, 60) Resistance 2: Y81.00 (50.0%% FIBO Y84 ,20-Y77, 60) Resistance 1: Y80.55 (MA (100) for D1, high of May) Current price: Y80.26 Support 1: Y80.00 (session low) Support 2: Y79.40/30 (MA (200) and MA (100) for H1) Support 3: Y78.80 (Jun 20 low) GBP/USD 22.06.2012 10:58:00 Resistance 3: $ 1.5780 (Jun 21 high, 50.0% FIBO $ 1,6290 - $ 1,5260) Resistance 2: $ 1.5680 (MA (100) for H1) Resistance 1: $ 1.5630 (session high) Current Price: $ 1.5603 Support 1: $ 1.5570 (Jun 21 low) Support 2: $ 1.5470 (Jun 14-15 lows) Support 3: $ 1.5400 (Jun 8 low)

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